Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study AJ Kucharski, TW Russell, C Diamond, Y Liu, J Edmunds, S Funk, ... The lancet infectious diseases 20 (5), 553-558, 2020 | 3153 | 2020 |
Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts J Hellewell, S Abbott, A Gimma, NI Bosse, CI Jarvis, TW Russell, ... The Lancet Global Health 8 (4), e488-e496, 2020 | 2999 | 2020 |
The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study K Prem, Y Liu, TW Russell, AJ Kucharski, RM Eggo, N Davies, S Flasche, ... The lancet public health 5 (5), e261-e270, 2020 | 2588 | 2020 |
Global, regional, and national estimates of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions in 2020: a modelling study A Clark, M Jit, C Warren-Gash, B Guthrie, HHX Wang, SW Mercer, ... The Lancet Global Health 8 (8), e1003-e1017, 2020 | 1151 | 2020 |
Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study AJ Kucharski, P Klepac, AJK Conlan, SM Kissler, ML Tang, H Fry, JR Gog, ... The Lancet infectious diseases 20 (10), 1151-1160, 2020 | 1064 | 2020 |
Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study NG Davies, AJ Kucharski, RM Eggo, A Gimma, WJ Edmunds, T Jombart, ... The Lancet Public Health 5 (7), e375-e385, 2020 | 915 | 2020 |
Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt KM Gostic, L McGough, EB Baskerville, S Abbott, K Joshi, C Tedijanto, ... PLoS computational biology 16 (12), e1008409, 2020 | 521 | 2020 |
Routine childhood immunisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa: a benefit–risk analysis of health benefits versus excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection K Abbas, SR Procter, K van Zandvoort, A Clark, S Funk, T Mengistu, ... The Lancet Global Health 8 (10), e1264-e1272, 2020 | 398 | 2020 |
Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts S Abbott, J Hellewell, RN Thompson, K Sherratt, HP Gibbs, NI Bosse, ... Wellcome Open Research 5 (112), 112, 2020 | 335 | 2020 |
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Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (15), e2113561119, 2022 | 231 | 2022 |
Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study BJ Quilty, S Clifford, J Hellewell, TW Russell, AJ Kucharski, S Flasche, ... The Lancet Public Health 6 (3), e175-e183, 2021 | 204 | 2021 |
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group, The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 … K Prem, Y Liu, TW Russell, AJ Kucharski, RM Eggo, N Davies, M Jit, ... Lancet Public Health 5 (5), e261-e270, 2020 | 172 | 2020 |
The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic … FG Sandmann, NG Davies, A Vassall, WJ Edmunds, M Jit, FY Sun, ... The Lancet infectious diseases 21 (7), 962-974, 2021 | 153 | 2021 |
Measuring the effects of COVID-19-related disruption on dengue transmission in southeast Asia and Latin America: a statistical modelling study Y Chen, N Li, J Lourenço, L Wang, B Cazelles, L Dong, B Li, Y Liu, M Jit, ... The Lancet infectious diseases 22 (5), 657-667, 2022 | 118 | 2022 |
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Medrxiv, 2021.02. 03.21250974, 2021 | 91 | 2021 |
Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. Lancet Glob Health. 2020; 8 (4): e488–96 J Hellewell, S Abbott, A Gimma, NI Bosse, CI Jarvis, TW Russell, ... | 89 | 2020 |
A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave J Bracher, D Wolffram, J Deuschel, K Görgen, JL Ketterer, A Ullrich, ... Nature communications 12 (1), 5173, 2021 | 72 | 2021 |
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandmann, ... Elife 12, e81916, 2023 | 59 | 2023 |
Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths T Jombart, K Van Zandvoort, TW Russell, CI Jarvis, A Gimma, S Abbott, ... Wellcome Open Research 5, 2020 | 55 | 2020 |